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  <title>Kerem Özdemir, Notes</title>
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  <description>Working notes on carbon accounting, valuation, and the instruments behind them.</description>
  <language>en</language>
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    <title>The agent was never alone: SIMEA</title>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 20 Aug 2026 12:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
    <description>A research project I keep in the open. Classical economics models the agent as a rational maximiser; behavioural economics keeps the maximiser and catalogues its failures. SIMEA starts elsewhere: the agent as a decision subject, embedded in and steered by systems. Algorithms, platforms, recommender architectures.</description>
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    <title>Determinism does not buy you a forecast</title>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 25 Aug 2026 12:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
    <description>The question this note comes from is old and the answer people reach for is usually wrong. If determinism is true, if every decision is in principle knowable from what came before it, does it follow that the financial future is predictable? The paper argues that it does not, and that the failure is structural rather than a shortfall of data or computing power.</description>
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