The agent was never alone: SIMEA

A research project I keep in the open. Classical economics models the agent as a rational maximiser; behavioural economics keeps the maximiser and catalogues its failures. SIMEA starts elsewhere: the agent as a decision subject, embedded in and steered by systems. Algorithms, platforms, recommender architectures. The framework proposes three measurable constructs: the influence gradient a system exerts on a choice, the autonomy threshold that remains the agent's own, and the entropy of the choice environment itself.

A second note takes the framework seriously and asks what it implies for forecasting: if determinism holds, does it follow that financial futures are predictable? It argues that it does not, and that predictability is a function of autonomy.